Over and under in football betting

The actual Gambler Whom Cracked your Horse-Racing Rule

The difficulty is that you need to have a minimum number of fixed sums bet on the football and the coupon’s odds will change significantly. In the interest of your understanding, more often than not, they’re as wrong as each other.

So I thought I’d do a little bit of maths to try to work out what you should be betting on. It’s based on a set coupon, so you’ll need to bet each of the ones listed against it to win.

Bets to win: 1 point; 15 to 1

The points bet is a way of making an even larger score for whoever wins. It involves a 40% reduction on your existing bets, but it could be worth it for an early morning punt.

I’m a fan of this one. The Betfair X Factor score may be inflated in Stoke’s favour as they aren’t in top flight, but they’ve been making the odd cup shock lately and this looks like one too.

Leeds vs Bradford

Bets to win: 1 point; 15 to 1

I’ll be honest. I’m not a fan of a Bradford City victory at this stage in their struggle to survive.

However, I do think that Leeds, another club with less than a handful of chances to make the Premier League this season, will have a decent go at Bradford.

Barton can be a useful player, but the side he played in last week was not too good, and I’m not sure he will come out firing from the outset of the play-offs.

Bets to win: 1 point; 15 to 1

Portsmouth are a good bet to reach the play-offs from this position, and they may have a better chance of beating Exeter than they might have had against Coventry earlier in the season.

Exeter, on the other hand, are on a bit of a roll right now, and have a good record against Portsmouth.

They’ve beaten them twice this season, home and away, but have also failed to win at Fratton Park since a 1-1 draw back in the 2011/12 season.

Sunderland vs Ipswich

Bets to win: 1 point; 15 to 1

I’d be tempted to bet on Sunderland getting to the play-offs, but Ipswich have won three of their last five games and although Sunderland have won two of their last three, they haven’t won three in a row since December.

These are strong odds, I know.

Walsall vs Bristol Rovers

Bets to win: 1 point; 30 to 1

The logic behind this bet is that Rovers have some form of home advantage here. Yes, they are without a win in their last 10 games, but they’ll take some beating in a one-off cup tie.

They’ve lost just two of their last 15 games, and they’re not necessarily favourites to beat Walsall either.

Despite their form, you’d have to fancy Walsall to get through, although it’s hard to see how they’d be the heavy favourites in any of the other games to reach the play-offs.

Sheffield Wednesday vs Reading

Bets to win: 1 point; 30 to 1

Reading are favourites to win, but this is an outside bet. The bookies rate Sheffield Wednesday as favourites to win as well, but I’d fancy Reading to make it to the play-offs with a chance in this game.